David Spiegelhalter: Micromorts and superforecasting

Interview on RNZ Sunday Morning 11 December 2022.


Do speed cameras reduce the chance of death? How dangerous is flying? What’s the risk of passive smoking? Micromorts – units of risk equating to a one-in-a-million chance of death – can help answer these questions.

Mathematician and statistician David Spiegelhalter has done the numbers and shares what he knows about your risk of death. He’s Chair of the Winton Centre at the University of Cambridge, author of the Art of Statistics, and co-author Covid by Numbers.